Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000088 0.000092 0.000097 0.000102 0.000108 0.000114 0.000121
2025-01-26 0.000077 0.000083 0.000090 0.000098 0.000107 0.000116 0.000129
2025-02-02 0.000073 0.000080 0.000089 0.000098 0.000110 0.000123 0.000141
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000079 0.000088 0.000100 0.000114 0.000132 0.000155
2025-02-16 0.000069 0.000078 0.000088 0.000102 0.000119 0.000140 0.000169
2025-02-23 0.000069 0.000079 0.000091 0.000106 0.000127 0.000154 0.000193
2025-03-02 0.000066 0.000076 0.000088 0.000104 0.000125 0.000154 0.000197
2025-03-09 0.000062 0.000072 0.000084 0.000100 0.000122 0.000152 0.000199
2025-03-16 0.000060 0.000070 0.000083 0.000100 0.000124 0.000156 0.000209
2025-03-23 0.000060 0.000070 0.000083 0.000102 0.000128 0.000165 0.000227
2025-03-30 0.000058 0.000068 0.000081 0.000100 0.000127 0.000166 0.000233
2025-04-06 0.000055 0.000065 0.000078 0.000096 0.000123 0.000162 0.000230
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000063 0.000075 0.000094 0.000121 0.000161 0.000233
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000060 0.000072 0.000090 0.000117 0.000157 0.000231
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072 0.000090 0.000119 0.000163 0.000248
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000059 0.000072 0.000092 0.000123 0.000173 0.000273
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000058 0.000072 0.000093 0.000127 0.000182 0.000300
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000059 0.000074 0.000098 0.000135 0.000201 0.000352
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000057 0.000072 0.000095 0.000133 0.000200 0.000355
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000055 0.000070 0.000092 0.000129 0.000195 0.000352
2025-06-08 0.000044 0.000055 0.000069 0.000092 0.000130 0.000200 0.000373
2025-06-15 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000093 0.000134 0.000212 0.000415
2025-06-22 0.000043 0.000053 0.000068 0.000092 0.000133 0.000213 0.000427